Nightly Business Report

Fed Chair Jay Powell is warning of the risks of staying too high for too long, but our market guest is warning of a different risk, one he says Wall Street has its head in the sand on.He’s here to tell us what it is and how he’s positioning as a result. Plus, analysts are loving this recent IPO, with eight of them initiating coverage on the stock today. The one with the highest price target is here to make his case for a 60% upside from here. And if you think of top media and entertainment stocks, this one may not be top of mind, but it should be says Morgan Stanley’s Ben Swinburne. He’s here with the name, what makes it superior to the competition, and how much runway he sees ahead.

Kelly connects the dots between France’s elections and the 2024 presidential election.

Wall Street’s #1 semiconductors analyst joins us with the power players he sees dominating the industry going forward. Plus, it’s a big week for the markets with Powell’s testimony and inflation data on deck. We’ll check in with Raymond James’ CIO about why he says the rally is nowhere near the top. And between France, the U.K., and the U.S., there’s plenty of uncertainty for the market to digest. We’ll ask Atlantic Council CEO Fred Kempe how he sees things playing out this year.

Kelly explains why AI is really driving the economy right now.

The June jobs report paints a muddy picture, but does it mean the Fed is finally ready to cut? We’ll discuss. And the U.K. has a new leader, with the Labour party winning the election in a landslide. We’ll look at the ramifications for business. And the CEO of Barnes & Noble joins us with how they’re keeping up with the latest trends, including e-readers and “BookTok”.

Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.

Stocks are mixed on the first trading day of the second half. The major averages have posted a monthly gain in July every year for the past decade. And our strategist just hiked his year-end S&P target to, 5,700 today. He’ll tell us where he’s putting money to work. And today’s manufacturing data showing a jobs divide. S&P Global reporting the fastest increase in employment in nearly two years. While ISM saw a drop in its index. With Goldman Sachs noting potential for slight upside risk to the unemployment rate ahead of Friday’s report, is the Fed’s focus about to shift away from inflation and to jobs? We’ll discuss. Plus, the Supreme Court handing down a decision in former President Trump’s election interference case stemming from January 6th, ruling a president has immunity for all “official” acts, but there’s no immunity for “unofficial” acts. Markets taking it as a positive for his election odds, with the yield curve steepening. We’ll dig into it.  

We’ll break down a seismic decision by the nation’s top court, impacting everything the government does. Plus, the latest inflation report came in as expected, but what does it mean for the markets and the Fed. We’ve got a power-packed panel to look at how to position. And Nike is having its worst day ever after weak results and guidance. We’ll ask our analyst what it’ll take to right the ship.

Wall Street’s #1 retail analyst, JPMorgan’s Matt Boss, is here to talk all things retail, including why value and convenience will be what ultimately separates the winners from the losers. Plus, Nvidia is lower again, but our market guest says to ignore the short-term volatility. And the first presidential debate of the year is on deck. We’ll arm you with the stats on the candidates and the polity talk that matters to investors.

Nvidia is down, once again, with the company’s annual shareholder meeting wrapping up right now. We’ll bring you the latest as another big chip name gears up to report results. Plus, speaking of tech, it’s one sector our market guest isn’t buying for two reasons – and one of them is pretty contrarian. He’ll tell us what they are, and what he’s buying instead, including one opportunity he hasn’t seen this cheap for this long since the great recession. And the last time the Howard Hughes CEO was on this show, he told us this year would be a golden age for homebuilding. That’s not showing up in the stock though. It’s down 25% year to date. And today we got another disappointing data point on housing. He’s back with an update on what he’s seeing on the ground. 

Nvidia bouncing back after three down days, but our market guest says it doesn’t matter where it goes from here, the market is moving higher regardless. Plus, there’s a niche asset class that had record returns last year, but it doesn’t come without risk. We’ll tell you what it is, and whether it’s worth considering for retail investors. And, as temperatures get hotter across the country, we look at one surprising beneficiary of the heat wave. 

Tech is today’s biggest laggard with chip stocks leading the declines. We’ll look at whether the “tech tide” is turning and where to put your money to work. Plus, we’ll get the retail names that Morgan Stanley says will benefit the most from broader AI adoption. And Bank of America is highlighting a buyer’s strike on salty snacks. The analyst behind that call joins us with the companies losing share and the names that will benefit the most.

Nvidia moving lower once again and our options trader says red flags have been popping up in the entire tech trade. Plus, Kyle Bass joins us to weigh in on current market leadership and where he’s seeing opportunities right now. And real estate power broker Ryan Serhant is in-studio ahead of the launch of his new Netflix show, “Owning Manhattan,” with the trends he’s seeing in the NYC luxury real estate market.

The risks for the economy are rising, and something could break if the Fed doesn’t act soon, according to Moody’s economist Mark Zandi. Plus, Nvidia may be the new market cap king, but it’s also become the subject of increased attention from short sellers. And AI has become a Wall Street darling, but how is Main Street adapting? We have exclusive data from CNBC’s Tech Executive Council.

Our economist says the consumer is on the cusp of a significant slowdown, and that could mean big changes for the Fed’s rate cut timeline. Plus, La-Z-Boy shares are soaring to their highest level since 2021 and best day in 7 years. We’ll ask the CEO what’s driving demand. And Lennar is lower despite an earnings beat, but our analyst says that presents a big buying opportunity.

The growing divergence between corporate bonds and equities could signal two things, according to our market guest, and neither of them is particularly good. Plus, investors are starting to question travel stock multiples as prices begin to crack. We’ll check in with the CEO of one of the largest global hotel brands. And we’re tackling stock splits in 3 Buys & A Bail with KKM’s Jeff Kilburg.

The Fed’s Loretta Mester says it’s important not to wait too long to cut rates, but one of our guests says the bifurcation she’s seeing in the economy all but guarantees we’ll be higher for longer. She’s here to make her case. Plus, investors dumped value and bought growth stocks last week, but our market guest is sticking with the value trade. He brings three names he says are well-positioned to pay dividends literally, and figuratively, from here. And from buydowns to rebates the EV winter has pushed suppliers to offer heavy incentives to stoke demand. But Barclays says it may have gone too far. The analyst joins us with the story and the trades. 

The latest economic data suggests the Fed may be falling behind, but is today’s data more noise than signal? We’ll debate. Plus, Slow Ventures’ Sam Lessin says Apple’s WWDC showed it was being smart about AI and came with a serious warning to OpenAI. He’ll join us to explain. And as shareholders vote on whether Elon Musk’s pay package should get approved, we’ll speak with one shareholder who voted yes.

We’re counting down the Fed decision with what to expect from the committee and what to listen for during Powell’s press conference. Plus, Paramount’s controlling shareholder Shari Redstone shocked the business world by terminating merger talks with Skydance. Needham’s Laura Martin joins us to discuss what’s next for the company. And ad firm MNTN is unveiling a new AI-powered platform for advertisers. We’ll look at how it works, and whether it can alter the media landscape.

Kelly explains why Apple’s AI offering was a game-changing moment for the company – and maybe the whole world, too.