Nightly Business Report

July’s jobs report came in much weaker than expected, triggering the key recession indicator known as the Sahm Rule. Its namesake joins us with her read on the economy. Plus, Intel’s having its worst day in 50 years after a disappointing earnings report. We’ll hear from CEO Pat Gelsinger. And capex spending is a major theme for tech companies reporting this week. We’ll speak with a key player in the space exclusively.

Today’s weak economic data is weighing heavily on stocks and yields as the 10-year falls below 4%for the first time since February. We’ll look at what it means for the Fed’s path forward. And in the largest East-West prisoner swap since the Cold War, U.S. journalist Evan Gershkovich is coming home. We’ll look at the nations and individuals involved, and the geopolitical impact with less than 100 days until the election.

Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.

We’re counting down to tomorrow’s Fed decision, where Powell is widely expected to signal that the first rate cut will come in September, but our market guest says investors are too focused on that, and not enough on what he sees as the biggest risk right now. Plus, the busiest week of tech earnings continues with Microsoft reporting after the bell. We’ll look at how to position ahead of the print and whether the broader pullback in tech is over. And Wall Street is waiting for Vice President Harris to pick her running mate. We’ll show you the shortlist, and what it means for the fundraising race.

It’s the busiest week of earnings season, combined with a ton of macro data and Wednesday’s Fed decision on interest rates. We’ll look at how to position for this massive market-moving week. Plus, Vanguard has a new CEO and it’s the first-ever outsider to helm the company. Bob Pisani sits down with him four weeks into the job. And we’ll bring you the action, the story, and the trade on Procter & Gamble, JetBlue, and Pfizer.

The longer the Fed waits to cut, the more they risk that something breaks, according to Moody’s chief economist Mark Zandi. He’ll join us to make his case, in light of today’s PCE inflation data. Plus, Digital Realty’s CEO joins Kelly on the heels of their quarterly results with what’s driving demand for data centers. And weakness in China is one of this earnings season’s big themes, but our market guest says that presents a buying opportunity for investors.

Was yesterday’s selloff a healthy correction or reason for concern? We speak with one guest who says the rally is intact, but it will be hard to make new highs until one thing happens. Plus, tech investor Gene Munster says the pullback in tech presents a great buying opportunity. He tells us what he’s watching. And three more names are on deck to report earnings, including this name our trader calls a “have” in a sector of haves and have-nots. We break it down in Earnings Exchange. 

The Nasdaq having its worst day of the year, as Tesla and Alphabet results disappoint. But bitcoin is moving higher, and we’re joined by VanEck’s head of digital assets research who’s making the case for $2.9M by 2050. And Wall Street’s #1 homebuilding analyst is here with his view on the builders as new home sales hit the lowest level of the year.

We're in an early bull market, but one of our guests says it's the most unloved bull market she's seen in her career and that presents a lot of opportunity. She’s also a Tesla shareholder and says it's a stock you buy in times of chaos. With earnings on deck, is this one of those times? And is a credit card backed by your home equity line of credit a great innovation or risky business? We have the details ahead.

More Democrats are coming out in support of Vice President Kamala Harris. We take a look at what’s next, how it’s changing Team Trump’s strategy, and whether it should change your market strategy. Plus, just last week Strategas’ Dan Clifton told us this is the most investable election in his professional career. Is that still the case, or is he reshuffling election baskets? We check back in with him. And tech is rebounding after last week’s massive rotation into small caps. So does this mean the bounce-back is over? We discuss. 

Former President Trump is accepting the GOP nomination as pressure builds for Pres. Biden to drop out of the race. We’ll get the latest from Washington and hear from two experts on each side of the aisle about what could be next. Plus, our market guest is using history as a guide and positioning for gains he sees ahead in the small caps. And Crowdstrike is plunging in the wake of today’s global IT outage. We’re tracking the ripples being felt across tech, banking, and airlines.

We’re in the midst of a massive, violent rotation from tech to small caps, but is this a sign that stocks are broadening out or are markets breaking down? Plus, Strategas’ Dan Clifton says this is one of the most investible elections he’s seen in his career and joins us with the stocks to watch ahead of November. And Netflix is on deck to report quarterly results, with options implying a 7% post-earnings move. We’ll look at how to position ahead of the print.

Our market guest says there are two catalysts breaking growth momentum and tells us how he’s taking advantage of the value trend. Plus, there’s one trade our analyst says will work regardless of who becomes president. He’ll join us with the theme and stocks to own. And we’re talking Blackstone, DR Horton and Domino’s Pizza in Earnings Exchange.

Wall Street reacts to former President Trump choosing Sen. JD Vance as his running mate. We look at the implications for the market, the green energy landscape, and health care. Plus, investing opportunities in China, India, and Europe are becoming more attractive to investors. We’ll look at where the biggest risks are. And small-cap stocks are on a historic winning streak, and our market guest thinks they could continue to lead the market for the rest of the year.

Fed Chair Powell says more progress on inflation is needed, but if the Fed waits for inflation to get to 2% to cut, it’s too late. Jefferies’ chief market strategist David Zervos joins us with his first take. Plus, we’ll get a live report from Milwaukee as the RNC kicks off and UVA’s Larry Sabato’s reaction to the failed assassination attempt on former President Trump.

Get ready for a value renaissance. Our market guest says it’s coming and he’s bringing his favorite ways to take advantage of it. Plus, the big banks are front and center. JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and Citi all topped expectations, but are under pressure. The Citi CFO joins us live on the back of the report. And despite ongoing concerns, there’s an opportunity emerging in the commercial real estate space, at least according to Mizuho. That analyst joins us with the shopping center name he’s bullish on.   

Kelly explains what Helen of Troy’s weak earnings reports means for the state of the broader economy.

Did CPI just cement a September rate cut? Our guests say the door is wide open. We look at what could close it again. Plus, some of the downside surprises beyond the headline numbers, and how to position from here. And, Universa is known as the Black Swan Fund, but the firm sees the S&P hitting 6,000 by year-end. We speak to Universa's COO about what makes them so bullish, some of the risks they are hedging for right now, and how they're positioning because of it. Plus, love in bulk on Wall Street for Costco stock today. The stock is already up more than 30 percent this year, and it's more expensive than Nvidia! So should you own it from here? We talk to one analyst who says yes, she just raised her price target again today. She joins us to make her case.

Kelly explains what the negative June CPI number means for the Fed’s next move.

Are we at an inflection point for the consumer? They’re choosing more carefully where to spend, which is not at Helen of Troy, as we learned yesterday. That company lost nearly 30% of its market value following earnings. Consumers are pushing back on big brands and high prices, which is leading them to Walmart, whose record highs might even suggest more weakness. This comes as Jay Powell today said going slower may allow the Fed to go farther, but according to our strategist, the Fed has to cut this year to keep the consumer, and small companies afloat. He’s here with where he’s trimming and what he’s adding to against this backdrop. But the consumer is still traveling, and Wyndham Hotels & Resorts is betting on that to continue, and betting on guests to stay longer. The CEO joins us like ahead with what he’s seeing. And then there’s housing. If you’re not buying a home because it’s too expensive right now, you can still buy into the housing trade, and we have a unique way to do it.