Heads Up Poker Podcast

Matt Warder of Sea Wolf Research joins Steve Barton to deliver a sharp update on the coal market’s evolving macro landscape. He explains how summer demand, LNG export growth, and rising U.S. power prices are shaping met and thermal coal pricing. Warder notes how Chinese steel production and potential capacity cuts are critical catalysts that could drive prices further, especially as restocking season approaches. Key companies discussed include Warrior Met Coal (HCC), Core Natural Resources (CNR), Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP), and Ramaco Resources (METC). Warder also shares his current positioning and views on equity performance, short interest, and risk strategies in the sector. He flags the importance of shareholder returns and highlights recent developments in the BTU–Anglo deal and the potential re-rating of Glencore. The episode touches on junior coal plays like Colonial Coal and Forge Resources, the return of Mongolian miners, and the unexpected conversation around restarting U.S. coal plants ami