Something More With Chris Boyd Show Podcasts
AMR, Economic & Market Update; Inflation
- Author: Vários
- Narrator: Vários
- Publisher: Podcast
- Duration: 0:51:32
- More information
Informações:
Synopsis
Chris and Brian discuss performance for the first half of 2021 and the factors driving the market. The S&P average annual returns have been at 14% for the prior decade and the all-stock index has surpassed 14% over the last six months. Covid continues to be a concern, with the Delta variant 3x more contagious. However, we are getting near herd immunity with fewer hospitalizations and death. The Federal Reserve and AMR use Core PCE to measure long-term inflation. (News outlets often us CPI to measure inflation, which includes energy and food and is more volatile.) This measure has been running at 2.45% annualized rate of return over the last 2 years. Last quarter it ran at 3.39%, which is higher than targeted but not absurd. Inflation could be transient and settle at slightly higher than historic norms. Housing prices have been high with 10-20% gains. This will probably moderate from where it’s been due to low supply and high demand during Covid. Housing prices in 2021 are on par with where were 2018. Cos